Protagonist Research · Volume 02 · Spring 2026 Open-access · CC BY 4.0 · ISSN 2997-PROT

THE catalogue.

The Catalogue is the public archive of how Protagonist Art thinks about the medium. The flagship Digital Art Investability Thesis, the empirical study of GIF as a serious form, the structural map of the NFT market after the dust, the methodology behind generative provenance, and the Q3 2026 brief. Open-access — because the field benefits when the reasoning is in the open.

FOUR COMPANION papers.

Each is short, peer-reviewed by the Protagonist editorial board, and built around a single question the flagship raises. Together they form the analytical basis for The Vitrine.

VOL. 02 · PAPER 02April 2026

GIF AS medium.

An empirical study of animated GIF as a serious medium for digital art. We analyze 2,400 animated-GIF artworks from 2015–2025, compare secondary-market retention against still-image digital works, and find that GIF works show 1.4× higher hold rates than comparable stills. The compounding mechanism is durational attention — collectors return to GIF works.

Abstract — Empirical Study

"We analyze 2,400 GIF artworks paired with 2,400 stills against 5-year hold rates. GIF hold rate: 38%; still hold rate: 27%. The 11-point spread holds after controlling for artist, edition size, primary-sale price…"

22 pagesApril 2026DOI 10.55560/prot.2026.02
READ PDF
VOL. 02 · PAPER 03April 2026

THE NFT MARKET STRUCTURE OF 2026.

The post-collapse map of digital art. After the 2022 contraction and the 2024 reset, the category has settled into three structurally different segments: institutional digital (Pak, Fewocious, the AI-art names), generative art (Art Blocks lineage), and the long tail. We track share, liquidity, and the secondary marketplaces that survived.

Abstract — Industry Study

"Global NFT secondary-market volume stabilized at $4.8B in 2025, down 84% from the 2021 peak but up 22% from the 2023 trough. The category has bifurcated into institutional digital (28% of volume) and generative art (24%)…"

22 pagesApril 2026DOI 10.55560/prot.2026.03
READ PDF
VOL. 02 · PAPER 04April 2026

GENERATIVE ART provenance.

The methodology paper behind The Mint. We define a six-dimension framework for generative art quality: compositional discipline, palette restraint, motion logic, deterministic seed, archival format, and conceptual coherence. The Mint's generators are built against this framework, and the same framework can be applied to evaluate any generative work for institutional collecting.

Abstract — Methodology

"We construct a 6-item generative-art quality instrument applied to 487 generative works (2018–2025). Inter-rater reliability ICC = 0.81. Compositional discipline (β = 0.43) and palette restraint (β = 0.36) are the dominant predictors of 5-year value retention…"

22 pagesApril 2026DOI 10.55560/prot.2026.04
READ PDF
Q3 BRIEF · Q3 2026June 2026

THE Q3 2026 DIGITAL ART brief.

The summer 2026 picture: the secondary-market recovery, the institutional buyer return, the AI-art question, and the bifurcation between collector-grade work and speculative noise. Q2 2026 secondary volume +18% on a year-over-year basis. The institutional buyer is back; the speculative buyer is not.

Brief — Quarterly Outlook

"Q2 2026 NFT secondary volume was $1.4B, up 18% YoY. Institutional collectors (defined as wallets with $100k+ aggregate holdings 3+ years) accounted for 42% of buy-side volume…"

14 pagesJune 2026Quarterly Brief
READ PDF
METHODOLOGY · OPEN · REPRODUCIBLE

BUILT ON eleven years OF DIGITAL-ART DATA.

Every paper in The Catalogue uses the same underlying dataset — the Protagonist Art research catalog spans 1,847 NFT collections, 2,400+ individual artworks tracked through 2025, and the Protagonist primary catalog of 1,000+ minted works. Survivorship adjustments are explicit. The methodology is published. The dataset is downloadable. The conclusions are open to dispute.

1,847
COLLECTIONS
11 YR
SECONDARY DATA
1,000+
PROTAGONIST MINTS
CC BY 4.0
LICENSE
LICENSE · CC BY 4.0

Use it. All Protagonist research is CC BY 4.0. Reprint it, adapt it, build on it. The only ask: attribute and link. If our work helps another gallery think more rigorously about the medium, the field benefits.

CC BY 4.0 →